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MI Bivariate Poisson + Dixon-Coles + Elo

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|Signal Test|REJECTED

Signal marcel-early-prior: Rejected

Auto-registered by test-signal.ts. Did not pass approval gates.

Marginal ROI
+0.0%
entry-adjusted
N
224,764
CLV
+5.7%
Gates
7/10

Hypothesis

Auto-registered by test-signal.ts

Gate Results

GateNameResult
1Pre-registeredPASS
2True standalonePASS
3Minimum NPASS
4Marginal ROIPASS
5Bootstrap marginal significanceFAIL
6Matchday interleave OOSPASS
7Regime stratificationPASS
8Suspicious NFAIL
9Practical significanceFAIL
10Walk-forwardPASS

Failed gates: Bootstrap marginal significance, Suspicious N, Practical significance

REJECTEDSignal: marcel-early-prior|2026-04-12